Ather Energy draws bullish analyst call as IPO lock-in expiry nears

A Financial Express archive spanning April–June 2025 flags HDFC Securities’ Buy call on Ather Energy, with a projected 31% upside, alongside investor attention on post-IPO lock-in expiry and EV supply-chain risks tied to China’s rare-earth curbs.

— FiledWed, 29 Jul, 2026, 12:17 IST·First seen Wed, 29 Jul, 2026, 12:16 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Ather Energy’s archive highlights HDFC Securities’ Buy rating and projected 31% upside, alongside IPO-related lock-in expiry, listing sentiment and EV-sector

Key facts

  • 31% expected upside
  • nearly 6% of Ather Energy and Borana Weaves shares
  • May 29, 2025
  • May 23, 2025
  • June 10, 2025
  • April 2025

Why this matters

Ather’s growth case reinforces the strategic value of EV ecosystem partnerships, while China-linked rare-earth risks heighten the need for localized sourcing and supply-chain resilience.

What to watch

  • Lock-in expiry date and any disclosed shareholder sale plans
  • Large block deals or a sharp rise in delivery volumes traded
  • Monthly VAHAN registration data and Ather market-share changes
  • China rare-earth export-control implementation details and Indian import availability
  • Management commentary on magnet sourcing, production guidance and pricing actions
  • Quarterly revenue growth, EBITDA margin and cash-burn performance
  • New product launches, battery technology updates and dealer-network additions
  • Track the size, timing and ownership concentration of shares becoming eligible for sale at lock-in expiry.
  • Compare post-expiry delivery volumes, registrations and market share against Ola Electric, TVS, Bajaj and Hero MotoCorp.
  • Watch for management disclosures on rare-earth magnet inventory, alternate suppliers, localization plans and expected cost impact.
  • Assess whether institutional buying, block deals or promoter-related transactions absorb incremental free float.
  • Monitor upcoming quarterly results for gross-margin trajectory, operating-loss reduction, dealer expansion and working-capital needs.