Ather Energy gets 31% upside call as 6% share lock-in expiry nears

HDFC Securities flags a Buy view on Ather Energy, citing EV-market potential and a 31% expected upside. Nearly 6% of shares are also set to exit lock-in, keeping the newly listed EV maker in focus amid cautious IPO-market sentiment.

— FiledThu, 30 Jul, 2026, 09:31 IST·First seen Thu, 30 Jul, 2026, 09:31 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Ather Energy archive highlights HDFC Securities’ Buy call citing EV-market potential and 31% upside, upcoming lock-in expiry for nearly 6% of shares, and

Key facts

  • 31% expected upside
  • Nearly 6% of Ather Energy and Borana Weaves shares

Why this matters

Ather’s post-listing volatility and projected EV-market growth make its dealer network, charging ecosystem and strategic partnerships worth monitoring for collaboration opportunities.

What to watch

  • Lock-in expiry date, eligible share count and daily delivery-volume trend in the sessions before and after expiry.
  • Block deals, bulk deals, insider-trading disclosures and promoter or investor holding changes.
  • Price behavior versus IPO price and versus listed EV peers after the additional shares become tradable.
  • Monthly VAHAN registrations, Ather retail sales, market-share movement and new-product launches.
  • Quarterly revenue growth, gross margin, EBITDA loss, cash balance and guidance changes.
  • Broader risk appetite for recent IPOs and any changes in EV subsidies, charging policy or financing rates.
  • Monitor whether major pre-IPO shareholders, founders, employees or financial investors disclose stake sales after the lock-in expiry.
  • Compare delivery growth and electric-scooter market-share trends against Ola Electric, TVS Motor, Bajaj Auto and Hero MotoCorp.
  • Watch for evidence that higher trading liquidity attracts domestic institutions rather than only short-term traders.
  • Track quarterly gross-margin progression, operating-loss trajectory, dealer expansion and working-capital needs for signs that growth is becoming less capital intensive.
  • Assess whether a sustained share-price decline changes the timing or terms of any future fundraising, employee stock-option value or supplier negotiations.