Bajaj Auto gains on strong Q1 as brokerages back export-led growth

Bajaj Auto posted 37% YoY revenue growth and a 45% rise in EBITDA in Q1 FY27. Brokerages see Pulsar, KTM and Triumph launches supporting 17% export growth, though domestic motorcycle market share remains under pressure.

— Source publishedWed, 22 Jul, 2026, 11:00 IST·First seen Wed, 22 Jul, 2026, 11:24 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Bajaj Auto’s Q1 FY27 revenue and EBITDA rose 37% and 45%, respectively, driving target-price upgrades. Brokerages expect export-led volume growth, aided by

Key facts

  • Share price rose over 4% to Rs 10,838, a 52-week high
  • Q1 FY27 revenue: Rs 17,240 crore, up 37% YoY
  • Q1 FY27 EBITDA: Rs 3,600 crore, up 45% YoY
  • Q1 FY27 EBITDA margin: 21%
  • Nuvama projects 12% total volume CAGR for FY26-FY28
  • Nuvama projects 7% domestic growth and 17% export growth
  • Export target: over 250,000 units per month in Q2
  • Domestic two-wheeler market share: 10.5% in Q1 FY27 vs 10.8% in Q4 FY26
  • Nuvama target price: Rs 12,000
  • Motilal Oswal target price: Rs 12,096
  • JM Financial target price: Rs 9,850

Why this matters

Bajaj Auto’s export-led growth and multi-brand product pipeline strengthen the strategic value of partnerships and international expansion, while domestic competitiveness may warrant further investment or alliances.

What to watch

  • Monthly export dispatch growth versus the 17% outlook and performance in Latin America, Africa and Europe.
  • Domestic motorcycle market-share data, especially in 125cc-plus and premium segments.
  • KTM and Triumph retail sales, dealer additions, launch cadence and inventory levels.
  • EBITDA margin trend, discounting intensity and realization per vehicle.
  • Rupee movement, overseas import-policy changes and credit conditions in key export markets.
  • Competitor launches and pricing actions from Hero MotoCorp, TVS Motor, Royal Enfield and Honda.
  • Accelerate premium-motorcycle launches and dealership reach for Triumph and KTM to defend urban and aspirational demand.
  • Prioritize export-market inventory, financing partnerships and local distribution capacity in high-growth regions.
  • Use Pulsar refreshes, targeted digital marketing and selective incentives to stabilize domestic motorcycle market share.
  • Protect EBITDA gains through favorable product mix, procurement savings and disciplined discounting rather than broad-based price cuts.