Crisil: West Asia crisis to lift everyday goods prices in India as input costs hit 44-month high

Crisil flags WPI input-output ratio above 1 for the first time in 44 months, with input prices up 6.2% MoM versus 0.7% output. Copper (+17.3%), aluminium (+20.6%), crude-related (+49.3%) and gas-related (+19.1%) inputs are surging, signalling near-term consumer price hikes as Indian manufacturers pass through costs.

— Source publishedThu, 28 May, 2026, 09:48 IST·First seen Thu, 28 May, 2026, 10:44 IST·Source ET Retail

What happened

Crisil warns West Asia crisis and Strait of Hormuz closure are pushing input costs (copper, aluminium, crude, gas) sharply higher, with WPI input-output ratio

Key facts

  • WPI ratio 1.02
  • input prices +6.2% MoM
  • output +0.7%
  • copper +17.3%
  • aluminium +20.6%
  • crude-related +49.3%
  • gas-related +19.1%
  • 44-month high

Why this matters

Distressed mid-tier suppliers exposed to copper, aluminium, and crude-derivative inputs become acquisition or vertical-integration targets as input-cost shock widens balance-sheet gaps.