GST compliance can absorb up to 13.9% of small firms’ turnover, NIPFP study finds

A NIPFP study found GST compliance costs small, unincorporated businesses 3.28% to 13.90% of annual turnover ahead of the GST Council's 7 October meeting. Costs were 4.64% to 19.71% of average annual operating expenses, while only 2.41% of surveyed businesses were GST/VAT-registered. Businesses with turnover below 4.9 lakh rupees face a higher proportional burden.

Source published First seen

Read the source at Business Today · Latestbazaar.businesstoday.in

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The numbers

Figures in the source 2022-23

Why it matters to operators and investors

Assess GST compliance costs and processes when evaluating small-business targets or partners, and watch for policy changes after the 7 October GST Council meeting.

What to watch next

  • GST Council agenda, decisions, and implementation timelines after the 7 October meeting.
  • Changes to filing frequency, return correction processes, composition-scheme eligibility, or audit requirements.
  • Evidence that small suppliers are raising prices, delaying invoices, or exiting formal supply chains.
  • Changes in small-business registration, GST filing compliance, or retailer closures over the following quarters.

Likely next moves

The desk's read of what comes next — analysis, not reported by the source.

  • Map exposure among small-format retailers and suppliers, especially firms with low turnover and limited in-house accounting capacity.
  • Review vendor contracts and pricing assumptions for potential compliance-cost pass-through.
  • Assess whether sourcing from smaller suppliers creates continuity or documentation risks.
  • Prepare a low-cost compliance support plan for franchisees, dealers, or small business partners.

The counter-case

The 3.28%–13.90% figure may overstate the policy burden if it reflects a small or unrepresentative survey, self-reported expenses, or costs that do not recur annually. A high percentage of turnover can also arise from a very small denominator. The estimate alone does not show that GST caused these costs, that they exceed costs under the previous tax system, or that reducing compliance would outweigh GST’s benefits.