HDFC Securities initiates Ather Energy coverage with Buy call, sees 31% upside

HDFC Securities has initiated coverage on electric-scooter maker Ather Energy with a Buy rating and a projected 31% upside, citing the company’s position in India’s growing EV market. The broader update also flags rare-earth supply risks for domestic EV production.

— FiledTue, 4 Aug, 2026, 13:01 IST·First seen Tue, 4 Aug, 2026, 13:00 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

HDFC Securities initiated Ather Energy coverage with a Buy rating and projected 31% upside, citing EV-market potential. The page also highlights rare-earth

Key facts

  • 31% projected upside
  • Nearly 6% of Ather Energy and Borana Weaves shares due to enter the market after lock-in expiry

Why this matters

Ather’s positive market endorsement could strengthen its strategic leverage for partnerships and capital raising, while highlighting the value of securing localized or diversified rare-earth supply arrangements.

What to watch

  • Monthly VAHAN registrations, Ather market share and competitor volume trends.
  • Management guidance on revenue growth, gross margin, EBITDA path, dealer additions and manufacturing utilization.
  • New model launches, battery or software upgrades, pricing changes and financing offers from Ather, Ola Electric, TVS, Bajaj and Hero.
  • Rare-earth export controls, magnet-price movements, supplier lead times and evidence of component shortages.
  • State EV-policy changes, subsidy adjustments and charging-infrastructure rollout.
  • Use the coverage initiation in investor outreach and evaluate capital-raising flexibility for network, service and manufacturing expansion.
  • Track regional registration data to identify markets where incremental dealer and charging investment can produce the fastest share gains.
  • Secure alternative rare-earth and motor-component sourcing, increase strategic inventory where economical, and redesign components to reduce concentrated-material exposure.
  • Defend unit economics against rival promotions by emphasizing service quality, financing and total cost of ownership rather than broad discounting.