ICRA pegs India two-wheeler growth at 3-5% in FY27 as high base, El Nino cloud outlook

After a GST 2.0-aided 15.7% YoY May 2026 wholesale jump to 19 lakh units, ICRA sees FY27 moderating to 3-5% on price hikes and monsoon risk. Electric two-wheelers hit 8.9% penetration with 1.72 lakh units, up 71.7% YoY.

— Source publishedFri, 19 Jun, 2026, 19:34 IST·First seen Fri, 19 Jun, 2026, 19:48 IST·Source ET Small Business

What happened

ICRA forecasts Indian two-wheeler industry wholesale growth at 3-5% in FY27, citing high base, El Nino risk, and price hikes. May 2026 wholesales grew 15.7% YoY

Key facts

  • 3-5% FY27 growth
  • 15.7% YoY May 2026 wholesale
  • 19 lakh units
  • 7.5% retail growth
  • 1,72,148 EV units
  • 71.7% EV YoY
  • 8.9% EV penetration

Why this matters

Window is open to acquire or partner with EV two-wheeler players and component suppliers before ICE volume moderation tightens valuations on legacy assets.