India e-retail to hit $170-180B by 2030 as Gen Z rewrites the funnel: Bain

Bain pegs India's e-retail at $65-66B in 2025, growing 20%+ annually to $170-180B by 2030. Gen Z now 40-45% of shoppers, driving Tier 2+ demand, quick commerce ($10-11B GMV), and conversational shopping via Rufus and ChatGPT over traditional search funnels.

— Source publishedMon, 18 May, 2026, 20:47 IST·First seen Mon, 18 May, 2026, 20:49 IST·Source Outlook Business

What happened

India e-retail · Bain report: India's e-retail market at $65-66B in 2025, projected to reach $170-180B by 2030, driven by Gen Z (40-45% of shoppers), Tier 2+

Key facts

  • $65-66B 2025 GMV
  • 20%+ annual growth
  • Gen Z 40-45% of base
  • $170-180B GMV by 2030
  • quick commerce $10-11B GMV

Why this matters

Scout acquisition targets in quick commerce, conversational shopping, and Tier 2+ fulfillment to lock in distribution before Gen Z's funnel rewrite consolidates around a few platforms.