Jefferies lifts GMR Airports target to Rs 135 on FY27 traffic recovery outlook

Jefferies reiterated a Buy on GMR Airports, citing expected FY27 traffic recovery, non-aeronautical revenue growth and new Nagpur and Bhogapuram airports. It set a Rs 135 target, implying 30% upside, while flagging West Asia disruptions as a near-term risk.

Source published First seen

Read the source at Financial Express · BrandWagonfinancialexpress.com

Newer report on GMR Airports Infrastructure · AERA has approved Hyderabad airport aeronautical tariffs for FY27-FY31, while GMR advances duty-free, Aerocity and new-airport commercial…Read the newer report

Demand data

GMR Airports target price: Rs 135, raised from Rs 125
GMR Airports Q1 EBITDA: Rs 1,450 crore, up 11% YoY
GMR Airports passenger growth: 1%
GMR Airports non-aeronautical revenue growth: 12%

What it says about consumers

GMR Airports’ FY27 traffic recovery thesis hinges on restoring passenger volumes while scaling higher-margin non-aeronautical revenue amid West Asia disruption risk.

The counter-case

The Rs 135 target relies on a FY27 traffic recovery that may already be partly reflected in expectations and could be delayed by weak airline capacity growth, elevated fares, geopolitical disruption to international routes, or softer discretionary travel. New airports can add long-term optionality but also bring commissioning, ramp-up, capex and competitive-risk exposure; non-aeronautical revenue may not scale as projected if retail, advertising and real-estate monetisation lag passenger growth. Higher interest costs, leverage, tariff-regulatory outcomes and dilution or funding needs could limit equity upside even if traffic improves.