Jefferies sees long-term gold upside that could push India’s MCX rate near ₹3.39 lakh per 10g

Festival demand and geopolitical uncertainty are supporting Indian gold prices. Jefferies’ Chris Wood projects gold could eventually reach $10,000 an ounce, which would imply roughly ₹3.39 lakh per 10 grams on MCX at ₹96 per US dollar.

— Source publishedTue, 22 Sept, 2026, 09:47 IST·First seen Tue, 22 Sept, 2026, 09:52 IST·Source Mint · Markets

What happened

Gold (India) · Gold prices in India are supported by festival-season physical demand and geopolitical uncertainty. Jefferies’ Chris Wood projects gold could

Key facts

  • $10,000 per ounce
  • ₹3 lakh per 10 gm
  • ₹3,38,630 per 10 gm
  • ₹96 per USD

What changed

Gold prices in India are supported by festival-season physical demand and geopolitical uncertainty. Jefferies’ Chris Wood projects gold could reach $10,000 per ounce long term, implying MCX prices of roughly ₹3.39 lakh per 10 grams.

Why this matters

Prepare for affordability pressure by expanding lightweight, lower-ticket and gold-exchange offerings while using festival demand to protect conversion.

What to watch

  • MCX gold sustaining new highs versus sharp weekly corrections.
  • Wedding-season footfall, average selling price, grams sold per bill and old-gold exchange mix.
  • Growth in 18K, lightweight, silver and lab-grown diamond category sales.
  • Gold-loan demand, consumer credit stress and EMI-plan adoption.
  • Rupee movement against the US dollar, central-bank gold buying and geopolitical escalation.