Jefferies starts Leela Hotels at Buy as luxury demand and room pipeline gain pace
Jefferies set a Rs675 target for The Leela Palaces, Hotels and Resorts after a June-quarter performance that saw revenue rise 28% YoY to Rs352 crore and EBITDA grow 41.6% to Rs143 crore. The operator has 15 hotels and 10 more in its pipeline, including a 30-key Tadoba resort.
What happened
The Leela Palaces, Hotels and Resorts · Jefferies initiated Buy coverage on The Leela, citing India’s luxury-travel premiumisation, owned-room growth and
Key facts
- Jefferies target price: Rs 675/share
- Stock intraday high: Rs 562.30/share, up 1.43%
- 15 operating hotels and 4,162 rooms
- 10 pipeline hotels and 1,095 rooms
- Q1 revenue: Rs 352 crore, up 28% YoY
- Q1 EBITDA: Rs 143 crore, up 41.6% YoY; margin 40.6%
- Q1 net profit: Rs 49 crore versus Rs 8.8 crore
- RevPAR: Rs 13,982, up 17% YoY
- ADR: Rs 20,722, up 10%; occupancy: 67.5%
- Tadoba resort: 30 keys, about Rs 120 crore capex
- Net debt: Rs 1,331.9 crore; net debt/EBITDA: 1.6x
- FY26-FY29 estimated EBITDA and PAT CAGR: 19-20%
Why this matters
The 10-property development pipeline, including the Tadoba resort, signals an opportunity to prioritize high-demand luxury destinations and selectively add experiential formats.
What to watch
- Q2 results showing continued double-digit RevPAR and EBITDA growth.
- Formal announcements on the 10 planned hotels, especially funding structure and opening timelines.
- Evidence that Tadoba and other experiential properties can command premium rates without diluting margins.
- Industry-wide luxury room supply acceleration or weakening corporate and inbound travel demand.
- Interest-rate, discretionary-spending or foreign-tourist trends affecting premium hospitality demand.
- Monitor quarterly RevPAR, ARR, occupancy and EBITDA-margin trends against the 28% revenue and 41.6% EBITDA growth base.
- Seek pipeline details: opening dates, ownership versus management contracts, capital commitments, room additions and expected stabilization periods.
- Track peer luxury hotel pricing and supply additions in key markets such as Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru, Rajasthan and leisure destinations.
- Watch for additional broker coverage, estimate revisions and institutional ownership changes following Jefferies' initiation.