Motilal Oswal retains Buy on Eternal and Arvind Fashions, sees up to 41% upside
The brokerage cited improving Blinkit quick-commerce economics for Eternal and healthy retail growth, a stronger D2C mix, sourcing efficiencies and premium-led margin expansion at Arvind Fashions. It values Eternal at Rs 400 and Arvind Fashions at Rs 620.
What happened
Motilal Oswal retained Buy ratings on Eternal and Arvind Fashions, citing Blinkit’s improving quick-commerce economics and Arvind’s healthy retail growth,
Key facts
- Eternal target price: Rs 400; implied upside: 41%
- Blinkit adjusted EBITDA margin guidance: 6%
- Eternal NOV growth target: over 60%
- Eternal EBITDA target: USD 1 billion by FY29
- Sunteck Realty target price: Rs 490; implied upside: 69%
- Sunteck Realty June-quarter pre-sales growth: 20% YoY
- Sunteck Realty launch pipeline: about Rs 7,100 crore
- Arvind Fashions target price: Rs 620; implied upside: 31%
- Arvind Fashions FY26-FY28 revenue CAGR: 13%; EBITDA CAGR: 18%; PAT CAGR: nearly 30%
Why this matters
The thesis highlights attractive partnership or acquisition themes in quick-commerce infrastructure, D2C capabilities, sourcing efficiency and premium-brand portfolios that can compound margins alongside retail growth.
What to watch
- Blinkit adjusted EBITDA margin trajectory, contribution margin per order and cash burn.
- Blinkit order growth, average order value, dark-store productivity and advertising revenue mix.
- Competitive pricing and expansion activity from Swiggy Instamart, Zepto and other quick-commerce operators.
- Arvind Fashions same-store sales growth, D2C share, gross-margin movement and inventory/markdown levels.
- Progress against Arvind Fashions' FY26-FY28 revenue, EBITDA and PAT growth targets.
- Consumer discretionary demand, apparel inflation and premium-category sales trends.
- Eternal may prioritize higher-frequency categories, advertising monetization and delivery-density improvements over indiscriminate geographic expansion.
- Blinkit competitors may respond with promotions, faster-delivery investments and higher rider/warehouse spending, raising sector-wide cash-burn risk.
- Arvind Fashions may accelerate D2C assortment, loyalty programs and premium retail formats while rationalizing lower-productivity channels.
- The brokerage call could draw incremental institutional attention to earnings estimates, especially if quarterly execution validates the margin assumptions.