Weak monsoon threatens India's 2026-27 coffee crop with 4% output decline
Rainfall deficits of 29-45% across Kodagu, Chikmagaluru, Hassan and Wayanad have stressed Arabica and Robusta yields. USDA now projects India's 2026-27 output at 6.14 million bags (3.68 lakh tonnes), a 4% decline, with pest infestations and poor berry development compounding the monsoon shortfall.
What happened
Indian Coffee Industry · Weak southwest monsoon with 29-45% rainfall deficits across key coffee districts threatens India's 2026-27 coffee crop. USDA projects
Key facts
- 35% rain deficit Kodagu
- 37% deficit Chikmagalur
- 45% deficit Wayanad
- 6.14 million bags 2026-27
- 4% output decline
- 3.68 lakh tonnes projected
Why this matters
Distressed Indian coffee estates and processors in Kodagu and Chikmagaluru may surface as acquisition targets if monsoon shortfalls persist into a second consecutive cycle.