Axis Securities Backs Eternal, D-Mart Among July Top Picks With Up To 36% Retail Upside

Axis Securities' July 2026 top picks lean on retail-relevant names: Eternal (Zomato) at 36% upside as quick commerce turns EBITDA-positive, Avenue Supermarts (D-Mart) at 20% target, plus Varun Beverages, Nestle India and LG Electronics on premiumisation and rural distribution gains. QC order value seen at $3B by 2030.

— Source publishedFri, 3 Jul, 2026, 11:14 IST·First seen Fri, 3 Jul, 2026, 12:23 IST·Source NDTV Profit

What happened

Zomato (Eternal) · Axis Securities' July 2026 top picks include retail-relevant names: Eternal (Zomato) at 36% upside on quick commerce turning EBITDA-positive,

Key facts

  • Eternal 36% upside
  • Avenue Supermarts 20% target
  • $3B QC order value by 2030
  • Varun Beverages 24% upside, PepsiCo rights to 2049
  • Nestle India 17%
  • LG Electronics 17%
  • D-Mart EBITDA margin 7-8%

Why this matters

The premiumisation-plus-rural-distribution thesis across Eternal, D-Mart, Varun Beverages and Nestle points to consolidation and partnership plays in quick commerce and last-mile logistics.

What to watch

  • Eternal quarterly QC segment EBITDA trend and take-rate commentary
  • D-Mart same-store sales growth and gross margin vs 20% target implied path
  • QC gross order value run-rate progress toward $3B/2030 milestone
  • Rural demand indicators feeding Varun/Nestle premiumisation thesis
  • Competitive discount intensity across quick commerce platforms
  • Rival brokerages issue matching or contrarian QC targets, tightening the consensus band on Eternal
  • Competing QC players (Blinkit peers, Instamart) accelerate spend to defend share, testing margin durability
  • D-Mart and staples names guide on rural volume recovery in upcoming quarterly prints
  • Retail investor inflows chase the flagged 36% upside, raising near-term volatility in Eternal