Eternal, Nykaa, Delhivery post strong Q3 FY26 as India retail eyes Rs 215 trillion by 2035
A BCG-RAI report pegs India's retail market at Rs 90-95 trillion in 2025, rising to Rs 210-215 trillion by 2035. Retail-tech names are riding the wave: Eternal revenue Rs 16,315 crore (+201.9% YoY), Nykaa Rs 2,873 crore (+27%) with net profit up 156%, and Delhivery Rs 2,798 crore (+18%). Store expansion and quick-commerce breakeven anchor the momentum.
What happened
Zomato (Eternal) · BCG-RAI report projects India's retail market at Rs 215 trillion by 2035, highlighting retail-tech stocks Eternal, Nykaa, Delhivery and
Key facts
- Rs 210-215 trillion retail market by 2035
- Rs 90-95 trillion in 2025
- Eternal Q3 FY26 revenue Rs 16,315 crore up 201.9% YoY
- Eternal net profit Rs 102 crore up 102.9% YoY
- Eternal +200 net stores
- Eternal share +13.5% YoY
- Nykaa revenue Rs 2,873 crore up 27% YoY
- Nykaa net profit Rs 68 crore up 156%
- Nykaa gross margin 45.2%
- Nykaa 276 stores across 94 cities
- Nykaa B2B 4.8 lakh retailers 1,100 cities
- Nykaa share +31.7% YoY
- Delhivery revenue Rs 2,798 crore up 18% YoY
- Delhivery net profit Rs 110 crore
Why this matters
The Rs 90-95 trillion base scaling toward Rs 215 trillion by 2035 signals a decade-long consolidation window—target quick-commerce, logistics, and beauty-vertical assets before valuations reprice on breakeven proof points.
What to watch
- Blinkit/quick-commerce contribution margin and breakeven timeline disclosures
- Dark-store and physical store net additions per quarter
- Nykaa BPC vs fashion segment mix and take-rate trends
- Delhivery volume growth and yield per shipment
- New IPO/QIP filings and PE funding rounds in retail-tech
- RBI consumption data and festive-season demand signals
- YoY growth normalization as inorganic base effects roll off
- Rotate into quick-commerce and last-mile logistics leaders while monitoring contribution-margin trajectory
- Trim positions where valuation prices in perfection ahead of tough YoY base comps
- Add Delhivery/logistics as a lower-beta play on the same structural retail-volume thesis
- Screen mid-cap beauty and grocery names for consolidation/M&A targets
- Hedge sector exposure against a base-effect-driven growth deceleration print