Festive inventory lift may give way to slower auto-sales growth, JM Financial says

JM Financial expects festive inventory build-up to support Indian auto wholesale volumes before growth normalises against a high base. SUVs remain the main passenger-vehicle growth driver, while premium motorcycles outperform; West Asia-linked inflation and higher input costs remain key risks.

— Source publishedWed, 23 Sept, 2026, 14:57 IST·First seen Wed, 23 Sept, 2026, 15:12 IST·Source ET Small Business

What happened

Indian automobile sector · JM Financial expects festive inventory build-up to support Indian auto wholesale volumes before growth normalises against a high

Key facts

  • Passenger vehicle volumes: +37% YoY in August 2026
  • Passenger vehicle volumes: +30% in first five months of FY27
  • Utility vehicle volumes: +46% YoY in August
  • Utility vehicle share: about 69%, versus about 65% a year earlier
  • Domestic ICE two-wheeler sales: +5% YoY in August
  • FY27 YTD two-wheeler sales: +14%
  • 150-250cc motorcycle sales: +28% YoY in FY27 so far
  • >250cc motorcycle sales: +34% YoY in FY27 so far
  • Sub-125cc motorcycle sales: about +6%

Why this matters

Focus partnership and acquisition scouting on SUV-adjacent and premium two-wheeler capabilities, where demand is structurally outperforming entry-level segments.