Four retail-tech stocks in focus as India's retail market eyes Rs 215 trillion by 2035
A BCG-RAI report projects India's retail market nearly doubling to Rs 210-215 trillion by 2035 from Rs 90-95 trillion in 2025. Enablers Eternal (Zomato), Nykaa, Delhivery and IndiaMART are flagged to watch. Eternal's Q3 FY26 revenue surged 201.9% to Rs 16,315 crore as quick commerce hit breakeven.
What happened
Zomato (Eternal) · BCG-RAI report projects India's retail market to hit Rs 215 trillion by 2035. Four retail-tech enablers—Eternal/Zomato, Nykaa, Delhivery,
Key facts
- Rs 210-215 trillion by 2035
- Rs 90-95 trillion in 2025
- revenue Rs 16,315 crore +201.9% YoY
- net profit Rs 102 crore +102.9% YoY
- 200+ net stores added
- share price up 13.5%
Why this matters
A doubling retail market with breakeven-inflecting quick commerce raises the value of logistics and category-specialist assets, so scout Delhivery-style fulfillment and vertical platforms as bolt-on acquisition targets before valuations reprice.
What to watch
- Eternal Q4 FY26 quick-commerce margin sustainability vs one-off breakeven
- Blinkit vs Instamart vs Zepto competitive intensity and discounting trends
- Delhivery and IndiaMART volume/take-rate prints for divergence confirmation
- Any downward revision to the Rs 210-215T projection or GDP/consumption slowdown
- Regulatory moves on quick-commerce labor, dark-store zoning, or FDI in retail
- Sell-side upgrades and revised price targets on Eternal citing quick-commerce breakeven
- Peers (Nykaa, Delhivery) reference the BCG TAM in investor decks and earnings calls
- Accelerated dark-store expansion and capex commitments to defend quick-commerce share
- Retail/HNI inflows into the enabler basket on the decade-long structural theme
Also reported by
- Financial Express · BrandWagon — 3h after first sighting