Brokerages see up to 28% upside in Reliance after Jio IPO filing; Retail pivots to manufacturing

Post RIL's 49th AGM and Jio's DRHP filing, Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal reiterated Buy with targets up to Rs 1,675. Jio valued at Rs 11-12 trillion with 524M subscribers. Reliance Retail flagged a push into manufacturing and exports, with RCPL scaling as a consumer brands platform.

— FiledSun, 12 Jul, 2026, 18:01 IST·First seen Sun, 12 Jul, 2026, 18:00 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Reliance Industries · At RIL's 49th AGM, brokerages Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal reiterated Buy with up to 28% upside after Jio's DRHP filing. Reliance flagged

Key facts

  • TP Rs 1,675 (28% upside)
  • TP Rs 1,640 (23.5%)
  • TP Rs 1,655 (26%)
  • Jio valuation Rs 11-12 trillion
  • 524M subscribers
  • FY26 revenue Rs 1,468.9B
  • EBITDA Rs 762.6B
  • 2.9% dilution

Why this matters

The Jio IPO filing and RCPL's build-out as a branded consumer platform open the door to bolt-on acquisitions in manufacturing, export supply chains, and consumer brands ahead of the listing.

What to watch

  • SEBI approval and pricing timeline for Jio IPO
  • Reliance Retail manufacturing capex disclosures and export contracts
  • Jio subscriber and ARPU trajectory beyond 524M base
  • Tariff hike cadence in Indian telecom
  • FII/DII flow shifts into large-cap conglomerates
  • Track sell-side SOTP model revisions and any raised Jio valuation ranges post-DRHP
  • Monitor RCPL brand additions, distribution reach, and export order announcements
  • Watch retail segment same-store growth and margin guidance in next quarterly print
  • Position for holding-company discount compression ahead of Jio listing window