Brokerages see up to 28% upside in Reliance after Jio IPO filing, retail push

At Reliance's 49th AGM, Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal Oswal reiterated Buy calls with targets up to Rs 1,675 (28% upside), citing the Jio IPO filing plus Retail's move into manufacturing/exports and RCPL scaling as a consumer brands platform.

— FiledFri, 3 Jul, 2026, 07:46 IST·First seen Fri, 3 Jul, 2026, 07:45 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Reliance Industries · At Reliance's 49th AGM, brokerages Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal reiterated Buy with up to 28% upside, citing Jio IPO filing plus growth

Key facts

  • TP Rs 1,675 (28% upside)
  • TP Rs 1,640 (23.5%)
  • TP Rs 1,655 (26%)
  • 270M shares
  • 2.9% dilution
  • Jio valuation Rs 11-12 trillion
  • FY26 revenue Rs 1,468.9B
  • 524M subscribers

Why this matters

The Jio IPO filing and Retail's move up the value chain into manufacturing signal a portfolio repositioning that could reshape partnership, M&A and vertical-integration opportunities.

What to watch

  • SEBI acceptance and Jio IPO price band / timeline confirmation
  • Quarterly Retail EBITDA margin and RCPL revenue run-rate
  • New energy / green capex guidance affecting free cash flow narrative
  • Holdco discount trend in analyst SOTP models
  • FII/DII flow data around Reliance weight in Nifty
  • Expect additional brokerages to publish AGM follow-through notes reiterating Buy with SOTP-based targets
  • Watch for Jio IPO DRHP details on valuation, dilution and timeline
  • Retail segment to disclose manufacturing/export capacity and RCPL brand portfolio milestones
  • Institutional positioning shifts ahead of listing; potential index-weight and passive flow anticipation