Brokerages see up to 28% upside in Reliance after Jio IPO filing; Retail eyes manufacturing, exports

Post-AGM, Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal Oswal reiterate 'Buy' on Reliance Industries with targets up to Rs 1,675 (28% upside) after Jio's IPO draft filing with SEBI. Jio valued at Rs 11-12 trillion with 524M subscribers, while Reliance Retail pushes deeper into manufacturing and exports.

— FiledWed, 1 Jul, 2026, 09:32 IST·First seen Wed, 1 Jul, 2026, 09:31 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Reliance Industries · At its AGM, Reliance outlined growth across telecom, retail, consumer brands, energy and AI, with Jio's IPO draft filed with SEBI.

Key facts

  • TP Rs 1,675 (28% upside)
  • TP Rs 1,640 (23.5%)
  • TP Rs 1,655 (26%)
  • Jio IPO 270M shares, 2.9% dilution
  • Jio valuation Rs 11-12 trillion
  • Jio FY26 revenue Rs 1,468.9B
  • 524M subscribers

Why this matters

Jio's IPO draft filing and Reliance Retail's manufacturing-and-exports expansion open windows for partnerships, supply agreements and pre-listing stake maneuvers around a business valued at Rs 11-12 trillion with 524M subscribers.

What to watch

  • SEBI approval and Jio IPO price band / listing date
  • Jio ARPU and subscriber net-adds trajectory (524M base)
  • Reliance Retail same-store growth and manufacturing/export order wins
  • RIL breach and hold above Rs 1,500 then Rs 1,600 resistance
  • Debt/capex commentary that could offset unlock optimism
  • More brokerages update SOTP models assigning explicit Jio equity value ahead of listing
  • RIL to detail Jio IPO structure, timeline and dilution in follow-up disclosures
  • Retail arm to announce manufacturing/export partnerships and capex guidance
  • Institutional flows rotate into RIL as index-weight anchor on unlock catalyst