Brokerages see up to 28% upside in Reliance after Jio IPO filing, retail push into manufacturing

Reliance filed Jio's IPO prospectus with SEBI targeting a late-2026 listing at a Rs 11-12 trillion valuation. Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal reiterated Buy, with target prices up to Rs 1,675 (28% upside). AGM outlined growth across retail, telecom, AI and energy, with retail expanding into manufacturing and exports.

— FiledSun, 5 Jul, 2026, 06:16 IST·First seen Sun, 5 Jul, 2026, 06:15 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Reliance Industries · At its AGM, Reliance outlined growth across retail, telecom, AI and energy, and filed Jio's IPO prospectus with SEBI targeting a late-2026

Key facts

  • TP Rs 1,675 (28% upside)
  • TP Rs 1,640 (23.5%)
  • TP Rs 1,655 (26%)
  • 270 million shares
  • 2.9% dilution
  • valuation Rs 11-12 trillion
  • 524 million subscribers
  • revenue Rs 1,468.9 billion
  • EBITDA Rs 762.6 billion
  • PAT Rs 300.5 billion

Why this matters

The Jio IPO filing and retail's push into manufacturing/exports open potential for partnerships, supplier acquisitions, and pre-listing stake plays across telecom, AI, and energy.

What to watch

  • SEBI approval of Jio DRHP and confirmed listing date
  • Final IPO valuation band vs Rs 11-12tn target
  • Reliance Retail quarterly margin and same-store growth prints
  • Manufacturing/export capex disclosures and order-book signals
  • Additional brokerage target revisions or downgrades
  • Anchor investor commitments and grey-market premium
  • Watch peer/supplier retail listings and private-label brands compress margins for Trent, Avenue Supermarts, D-Mart as Reliance scales manufacturing
  • Vendor and FMCG suppliers renegotiate terms as Reliance in-sources private-label production
  • Institutional pre-positioning ahead of Jio anchor allocation; block deals and index-weight adjustments
  • Competitors (Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea) face renewed pricing/capex pressure from Jio capital raise