India's 2026-27 coffee output seen down 4% to 6.14M bags as weather hits Arabica yields

USDA FAS Mumbai projects India's coffee crop falling to 6.14 million bags (3.68 lakh tonnes) in 2026-27, with Arabica yields dropping 8% to 452 kg/hectare. Domestic consumption inches up to 1.58M bags, with soluble/instant formats commanding 73% of household demand at just 0.04 kg per capita.

— Source publishedSat, 23 May, 2026, 15:29 IST·First seen Sat, 23 May, 2026, 15:36 IST·Source The Hindu BusinessLine

What happened

Coffee Board of India · USDA projects India's 2026-27 coffee output to fall 4% to 6.14 million bags on weather stress, mainly hitting Arabica yields. Domestic

Key facts

  • 6.14 million bags
  • 3.68 lakh tonnes
  • 4% decline
  • 1.56 million bags Arabica
  • 4.58 million bags Robusta
  • 8% Arabica yield drop
  • 452 kg/hectare
  • 1,239 kg/hectare
  • 1.58 million bags domestic consumption
  • 73% soluble share
  • 0.04 kg per capita

Why this matters

With instant formats owning 73% of Indian household demand and Arabica supply tightening, scout bolt-on soluble/instant brands or contract-roasting assets that can absorb green bean volatility.

Also reported by