Reliance eyes up to 28% upside as brokerages back Jio IPO filing, retail manufacturing push

At its 49th AGM, Reliance filed Jio's IPO draft with SEBI (270M shares, 2.9% dilution, Rs 11-12 trillion valuation). Jefferies, Nomura and Motilal reiterated 'Buy' with targets of Rs 1,640-1,675 (23.5-28% upside). Reliance Retail is pushing deeper into manufacturing and exports, with listing expected by end-2026.

— FiledFri, 3 Jul, 2026, 05:31 IST·First seen Fri, 3 Jul, 2026, 05:30 IST·Source Financial Express · BrandWagon

What happened

Reliance Industries · At its 49th AGM, Reliance outlined growth across telecom, retail, AI and energy, filing Jio's IPO draft with SEBI. Brokerages Jefferies,

Key facts

  • TP Rs 1,675 (28% upside)
  • TP Rs 1,640 (23.5%)
  • TP Rs 1,655 (26%)
  • Jio 270M shares
  • 2.9% dilution
  • Jio valuation Rs 11-12 trillion ($117-127B)
  • 524M subscribers
  • FY26 revenue Rs 1,468.9B

Why this matters

Reliance's deeper move into retail manufacturing and exports, paired with the Jio IPO monetization event, signals opportunities in supply-chain partnerships and pre-listing positioning before the end-2026 debut.

What to watch

  • SEBI acceptance/observations on Jio DRHP and revised timeline
  • Confirmed IPO price band vs the Rs 11-12T draft valuation
  • Reliance Retail quarterly margins and manufacturing/export revenue disclosure
  • Jio ARPU trends and tariff hikes supporting the telecom multiple
  • RIL stock hitting/rejecting Rs 1,640-1,675 TP zone
  • Peer telecom (Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea) re-rating as Jio's implied valuation sets a benchmark
  • Anchor investor and pre-IPO placement chatter around Jio's Rs 11-12T valuation
  • Reliance Retail supplier/vendor onboarding and export-oriented capex announcements
  • Additional brokerage TP hikes and coverage initiations pegged to sum-of-parts models
  • FII/DII positioning shifts into RIL ahead of the listing window