Reliance Q1FY27 profit falls 22% YoY as Retail EBITDA slips 2%; Motilal Oswal trims target, keeps Buy
Reliance Industries posted Q1FY27 net profit of Rs 20,946 crore, down 22% YoY, with Retail EBITDA down 2% YoY even as JioMart expanded to 5,500 pin codes. Consolidated EBITDA rose 8% QoQ on an energy rebound. Motilal Oswal retained its Buy rating but cut the target price to Rs 1,550, with the stock at Rs 1,341.20.
What happened
Reliance Industries' Q1FY27 profit fell 22% YoY on weaker Retail EBITDA, though energy rebound lifted overall results; Motilal Oswal retains Buy despite
Key facts
- Q1FY27 net profit Rs 20,946 crore, down 22% YoY
- consolidated EBITDA Rs 47,500 crore, up 8% QoQ, 11% YoY
- Retail EBITDA down 2% YoY
- JioMart covers 5,500 pin codes
- target price Rs 1,550
- stock at Rs 1,341.20
Why this matters
Retail's flat-to-declining EBITDA despite geographic expansion suggests Reliance's retail arm may need portfolio or operational restructuring to restore growth momentum.
What to watch
- Q2FY27 Retail EBITDA trend - is -2% YoY a floor or start of a deeper slide
- JioMart pin-code expansion pace vs actual order volume/GMV conversion
- Refining margin (GRM) movement and its contribution to consolidated EBITDA
- Competitive intensity from quick-commerce players eating into Reliance Retail's grocery/FMCG share
- Any management guidance on Retail IPO/demerger timeline given prolonged EBITDA softness
- Consumer spending data (urban discretionary, FMCG volume growth) as leading indicator for next quarter
- Track management commentary on Retail same-store-sales growth and JioMart GMV in post-earnings call/investor presentation
- Watch for incremental brokerage target revisions (JPMorgan, Nomura, CLSA) following Motilal Oswal's cut
- Monitor Reliance Retail's store count/closure trends and category-wise performance (fashion, grocery, consumer electronics)
- Assess capex allocation shifts between Retail, Jio, and O2C in upcoming quarters
- Watch Jio's ARPU trajectory and any tariff hike signals that could offset retail weakness