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Gold slides 23% from January peak as jewellers brace for Diwali volumes below last year
Our read
Diwali jewellery sales will hold up in value but fall short of last year in volume, as the 23% drop from gold's January peak fails to bring buyers back in numbers.
For operators
Plan Diwali inventory for volumes below last year even with the usual 15-20% peak-season lift, and concentrate assortment and offers on the Rs 1.5-3 lakh ticket band that Kama's Colin Shah expects, since gold at about $4,155/oz, 23% off the January peak, has not yet brought buyers back in volume.
Watch
Spot gold holding near $4,155/oz versus breaking lower or rebounding toward the $5,419 record
The report
Gold fell more than 23% from its January peak, with MCX gold at Rs 1,49,270 per 10 grams on October 5. Kama Jewellery's Colin Shah expects Diwali ticket sizes of Rs 1.5 lakh to 3 lakh, while industry players expect volumes below last year.
down more than 23%
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Reported figures
From the report. Source details below
| Peak-season demand spikes: | about 15-20% |
|---|---|
| Spot gold on October 5: | just above $4,155 per ounce |
What to track next
- MCX gold moving materially away from Rs 1,49,270 per 10g during the festive week
- Jewellers' Diwali commentary on whether the 15-20% peak-season spike was achieved
- Reported festive ticket sizes staying inside Rs 1.5-3 lakh or sliding below it
- Company statements comparing festive volumes with last year
The source
First seen