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GoKwik: COD Is 90% of Undelivered Festive Order Value; Tier 3 Towns Account for 43% of Orders

Our read

COD will remain about half of festive orders, but brands will shift to prepaid nudges and multi-item baskets to cut the roughly 90% of undelivered value it drives.

For operators

GoKwik's 18 crore festive orders show COD, about half of orders, was nearly 90% of undelivered value, so operators planning Festive 2026 should test steering COD buyers to 3-4 item baskets, which had about 25% lower RTO.

Watch

COD share of undelivered order value below the ~90% reported, in GoKwik's Festive 2026 analysis, would mean COD-curbing tools are cutting RTO losses for brands and couriers.

The report,

GoKwik's analysis of 18 crore festive orders placed between 22 September and 5 November 2025 found COD made up nearly 90 per cent of undelivered shipment value despite about half of orders. Tier 3 locations contributed 43 per cent of orders.

COD's share of all orders set against its share of undelivered value, festive 2025
COD share of total orders
about half
COD share of undelivered shipment value
90 per cent
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Channel facts

From the report. Source details below

COD share of total orders: about half
RTO rate reduction, 3-4 item COD orders vs single-item: about 25 per cent
Top 10% shoppers' share of category GMV: between 38 per cent and 55 per cent
Brands served by GoKwik: more than 20,000
Online shoppers served by GoKwik: 220 million

What it means for online and offline

GoKwik's analysis of 18 crore orders shows COD, about half of orders, was nearly 90% of undelivered shipment value, so COD-focused RTO-reduction tooling is where the undelivered value sits when screening e-commerce enablement targets.

Signals to track

  • Tier 3 share of orders versus the 43% reported in the next GoKwik festive data
  • RTO gap between 3-4 item and single-item COD orders versus the ~25% reported
  • COD fees or pincode-level COD limits announced by major marketplaces or D2C brands
  • Rival RTO or COD datasets from other checkout or logistics providers

Likely next moves

Our read of what comes next — analysis, not reported by the source.

  • GoKwik is likely to promote COD-risk scoring, prepaid conversion and address-verification tools to merchants, citing this dataset as proof of where RTO losses sit.
  • D2C brands are likely to nudge multi-item baskets on COD orders, using bundles and cart thresholds, because 3-4 item orders showed about 25% lower RTO than single-item orders.
  • Expect rival checkout and logistics firms such as Shiprocket to publish their own festive RTO and COD datasets to contest GoKwik's framing.
  • Couriers and marketplaces may tighten COD acceptance or add handling fees in higher-RTO pincodes, mainly in Tier 3 and smaller towns.
  • GoKwik is likely to release a post-season readout on Festive 2026 that compares COD and RTO behaviour with this 18 crore-order base.

The source

Source Read the source at BW Retail World

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