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Haier's premium appliances grow 30-35% vs 15% for entry-level as Godrej eyes over 40% festive sales growth

Our read

Premium appliances, backed by consumer financing, carry the festive season, while the unrecovered 40-50% of input-cost increases forces another round of price hikes once the peak passes.

For operators

Tilt festive stock and promotions toward mid-to-premium models, which grew 30-35% in August-September against about 15% for entry-level, and have easy-finance options ready, since financing is 45-47% of sales and heading to 50%.

Watch

Festive-season sell-out figures from Godrej and Haier compared with the over 40% growth expectation

The report

Haier's mid-to-premium appliances grew 30-35% year-on-year in August-September against about 15% for entry-level products. Godrej expects festive-season sales to grow over 40%, with financing at 45-47% of sales, as premiumisation drives demand despite price hikes.

Haier's mid-to-premium appliances grew faster than entry-level in August-September
  • Haier mid-to-premium growth, Aug-Sep, year-on-year30-35%
  • Haier entry-level growth, Aug-Sep, year-on-yearabout 15%

07:30 IST · 10 moves · what each means · free

Reported figures

From the report. Source details below

Godrej financing share expected this year: 50%
Godrej AC and refrigerator price hike: around 5-7%
Estimated input cost rise since April: 8-10%
Haier input cost pressures passed on: 50-60%

What to track next

  • Financing share of sales reaching or passing 50%
  • Announcements of a second round of price increases beyond the ~5-7% already taken on ACs and refrigerators
  • Input-cost movements against the 8-10% rise since April, and any change in Haier's 50-60% pass-through
  • Post-festive growth in entry-level categories relative to the ~15% seen in August-September

Likely next moves

Our read of what comes next — analysis, not reported by the source.

  • Haier is likely to keep tilting its marketing and stock allocation toward mid-to-premium models, where demand is growing 30-35%, and to treat entry-level as a volume-defence segment.
  • Expect Haier and its rivals to take further selective price increases after the festive peak, because only 50-60% of the 8-10% input-cost rise has been passed on so far.
  • Godrej is likely to lean on financing partnerships and EMI schemes to chase its festive sales growth of over 40%, pushing the finance share of sales toward 50%.
  • Lenders and consumer-finance partners may widen their appliance-loan offers during the festive window, with underwriting standards and late-payment rates becoming the main thing to watch afterwards.
  • Entry-level shoppers may defer purchases or trade up to financed models rather than pay the AC and refrigerator price hikes of around 5-7%, leaving the low end the weakest part of the festive season.

The counter-case

The case against this reading — not reported by the source.

The signal stacks company-sourced optimism and treats it as a market-wide trend. Haier's 30-35% premium growth and Godrej's 'over 40%' festive expectation come from sellers talking up their own season. The Godrej figure is a forecast, not a result. Premium growth probably comes off a small base and may reflect Haier's own share gains and new launches rather than category demand. Financing at 45-47% of sales and heading to 50% is arguably a warning sign, not a strength. It suggests buyers are leaning on EMIs and zero-cost offers to afford 5-7% price hikes, which pulls demand forward and leaves a hangover after the festive window. The K-shaped split (about 15% entry-level versus 30-35% premium) also implies that price-sensitive buyers are weakening. Meanwhile, input costs are up an estimated 8-10% and Haier has passed on only 50-60%, so margins are being squeezed. Discounting or subsidised financing could deepen that squeeze if sell-through disappoints. The headline growth is likely to flatter volumes, margins and the sustainability of demand.

The source

Source Read the source at Financial Express

Filed

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