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Nykaa expects ~30% GMV growth in Q2 update; DMart revenue per store dips 1% and shares fall over 5%
Our read
Nykaa keeps its ~30% GMV growth premium while DMart's per-store recovery (-4% to -1%) continues but stays unconvincing until it turns positive.
For operators
Nykaa's roughly 30% GMV growth shows beauty demand is still compounding online, while DMart's revenue per store down 1% and flat revenue per sq ft show that adding stores is not lifting productivity, so operators should put more weight on throughput per store and like-for-like performance than on footprint growth.
Watch
Nykaa's full Q2 results showing GMV growth near the ~30% indicated and margins holding
The report
Nykaa expects consolidated GMV to grow around 30% in its pre-quarter update, while DMart's annualized revenue per store declined 1% YoY in Q2, better than the 4% dip in Q1. Nykaa shares rose 4% and DMart fell over 5%.
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Reported figures
From the report. Source details below
| DMart annualized revenue per sq ft YoY: | flat |
|---|
What to watch next
- DMart's Q3 update showing revenue per store at or above flat, against -1% in Q2 and -4% in Q1
- Revenue per sq ft moving off flat at DMart
- Whether DMart's over-5% fall holds or reverses over the following sessions
- Whether Nykaa's ~4% intraday gain holds after the detailed results
Likely next moves
Our read of what comes next — analysis, not reported by the source.
- Nykaa is likely to publish full Q2 results that back the ~30% consolidated GMV growth, with management stressing momentum across its beauty business.
- DMart (Avenue Supermart) is likely to point to the smaller per-store decline (-1% versus -4% in Q1) as evidence that the slowdown is easing, while flat revenue per sq ft tempers that message.
- Brokerages are likely to split, raising conviction on Nykaa after the GMV update and cutting or holding DMart estimates after the per-store softness.
- Quick-commerce and online grocery rivals may keep pressing DMart's value-grocery base, which would keep per-store growth in focus.
- Institutional investors may rotate toward Nykaa's growth and away from DMart's slower per-store trajectory in the near term.
The source
Filed
First seen